Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.202218 0.229989 0.259775 0.294051 0.332354 0.373790 0.421958
2026-01-11 0.164960 0.202081 0.244547 0.296547 0.358322 0.429170 0.516374
2026-01-18 0.140211 0.183143 0.235047 0.302041 0.385803 0.486616 0.616640
2026-01-25 0.122807 0.169825 0.229514 0.310184 0.415604 0.547836 0.725277
2026-02-01 0.105766 0.154201 0.218516 0.309169 0.432464 0.592951 0.816029
2026-02-08 0.092039 0.140926 0.208587 0.307686 0.447438 0.635495 0.905244
2026-02-15 0.080844 0.129594 0.199718 0.306129 0.461255 0.676410 0.993921
2026-02-22 0.073811 0.123368 0.197189 0.312841 0.486510 0.733938 1.108348
2026-03-01 0.066128 0.115129 0.190645 0.312650 0.501139 0.776644 1.203569
2026-03-08 0.059640 0.107958 0.184865 0.312782 0.515745 0.819573 1.300893
2026-03-15 0.054150 0.101747 0.179877 0.313458 0.530803 0.863522 1.401579
2026-03-22 0.050147 0.097584 0.177725 0.318298 0.552390 0.918195 1.521016
2026-03-29 0.046842 0.094437 0.177206 0.326156 0.579994 0.984820 1.664469
2026-04-05 0.043020 0.089901 0.173844 0.328843 0.599156 1.039075 1.791362
2026-04-12 0.040099 0.086709 0.172515 0.334845 0.624138 1.103937 1.938603
2026-04-19 0.037863 0.084580 0.172871 0.343763 0.654564 1.179220 2.106586
2026-04-26 0.034550 0.079888 0.167982 0.342641 0.667110 1.225011 2.227595
2026-05-03 0.031531 0.075431 0.163088 0.341009 0.678439 1.269059 2.347528
2026-05-10 0.028819 0.071292 0.158398 0.339299 0.689331 1.312658 2.468509
2026-05-17 0.027298 0.069587 0.158408 0.346662 0.717438 1.387803 2.647789
2026-05-24 0.025181 0.066272 0.154784 0.346451 0.731044 1.437517 2.784216
2026-05-31 0.023293 0.063257 0.151492 0.346595 0.745215 1.488773 2.925541
2026-06-07 0.021625 0.060560 0.148622 0.347337 0.760491 1.542646 3.073854